Tag Archive: Rate Watch

Nov 19

Mortgage Rate Watch November 19, 2012

A little late posting this tonight, very busy day!

After the post last Friday the market improved towards the end of the day.  This morning it opened off a little then bounced back in the afternoon.  Not enough change in either direction to impact interest rates.  One reason they are not moving is because the yield spread between the 1/8 increments rates are quoted in is so large it will take a pretty big movement to bounce either direction.

It will be a short week for trading in the mortgage backed securities market as well as the stock market.  Both are closed all day Thursday and half a day Friday.

Nov 16

Mortgage Rate Watch November 16, 2012

No change in mortgage interest rates over Wednesday’s pricing.  The Industrial Production Report was released this morning and the index declined very slightly when the experts were expecting a slight improvement. 

I believe the storm has been more of an influence on the markets than the recent financial reports.

The last quote I received this morning for the bond market showed a little improvement which is a good sign on a Friday.  Over the years it seems to me Friday’s are usually off days, investors taking money out of the market over the weekend in case we attack Canada or something silly like that.

 

Next week is going to be a light one for financial reports, home sales will be released on Monday, and housing starts are due Tuesday, sounds backwards to me.  Ironic but Jobless Claims and Consumer Sentiment are both due out Wednesday, as are the Leading Indicators. 

 

2:00 update, Mortgage Backed Securities are up 8/32 which is good for interest rates, when bonds go up interest rates go down.  That is not enough change to impact rates yet, but at least they are headed in the right direction.

 

There will be fewer hours of trading next week, the market is closed Thursday and half a day Friday in observance of Turkey Day.

 

Nov 14

Rate Watch November 14, 2012

 

Bonds Down a Little Rates Up Slightly

 

Not a big movement, but Mortgage Backed Securities are trading a little lower this morning, down about another 5/32’s. Interest rates are up very slightly, not enough to change the rate.  Lenders look at yield and borrowers look at rate, the yield is only slightly less than yesterday so not enough change to bump the rate an 1/8 of a point. 

 

In fact, considering how small the change is in yield supports something I have thought for the last couple of weeks, interest rates are not as low as they should be.  Yes, I know they are at an all-time low!  But considering how much the price of bonds have increased recently I would have expected the rates would have improved more than they have.

 

So this little movement today and yesterday didn’t change anything, there was already a little fat imbedded in the rate or so it appears to me.   

 

May 04

Rate Watch 5/4/12

Interest rates have remained steady for the past two weeks, unusually steady! Today I posted a slight improvement on the conventional 30 and 15 year rates, how much lower can they go? 

The jobs report released this morning showed an employment increase of 115,000 new jobs added in April, about 55,000 less than expected.  The unemployment figures also improved slightly. Personally, I do not believe these reports, a decline in unemployment claims is not an indication of new jobs created, simply that benefits have run out.  Mortgage bonds reacted favorably to the news, interest rates decrease when the price of mortgage backed securities increase.

I have watched interest rates for a few decades and it seems like Friday is usually an uptick day, not down.  That makes sense, some money managers sell paper on Friday just in case we get tangled up in a war over the weekend.  Those Canadians have been very quiet lately…  

 

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